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ICIS上海9月30日：据ICIS数据显示，截止9月29日，中国华东PTA出库价为3241元/吨，跌至5月中以来最低水平，对比9月1日下跌285元/吨或8%。 9月内价格大幅下跌主要是受到PTA期货主力合约价格下跌、国内供应增多以及下游工厂节前采购需求支撑不足等因素的影响。 随着全球石油需求增长前景看跌，全球新冠确诊病例数量继续攀升，利比亚原油出口存增长预期，施压油价下行。尽管月中飓风“莎莉”造成美国墨西哥湾地区油气设施生产中断，以此提振油价，但9月内国际油价总体呈震荡走跌态势。受此影响，PTA期货市场价格同步跟跌。 据郑商所数据显示，PTA期货主力合约收盘价格从月初的3752元/吨跌至9月29日的3464元/吨。 供应方面，因PTA供应商仍有盈利空间，部分原定于9月内的检修计划推迟延后至4季度内，同时宁波逸盛220万吨/年于9月内短停两周，洛阳石化33万吨/年、海伦化学120万吨/年以及宁波利万70万吨/年陆续在9月内重启，9月整体现货供应量表现宽松，库存继续积累。 需求方面，9月内海外部分地区新冠疫情仍持续加重，终端织造等企业未来出口需求预期存在不确定性，聚酯工厂产销转弱，平均开工率小幅回落。加上十一长假期间因终端企业放假，节前以消化库存为主，继续采购需求明显转淡。 进入10月，十一长假期间PTA工厂多维持运行负荷稳定，而现货市场交易几乎停滞，PTA库存仍将继续积累。 另外，独山能源二期220万吨/年PTA新装置已推迟至10月上半月投产，具体时间尚未确定。福建百宏250万吨/年PTA新装置计划10月底投产。 尽管今年有多套装置的检修计划多次推迟，大概率在4季度内执行，或将对上述两套新装置投产带来的增量有所抵消。不过工厂的检修计划仍将视生产盈利状况而调整，仍有继续推迟的可能性。 图片：China polyester textiles 6 JuneThe global Surfactants industry keeps to react to volatile market situations and changes in demand attributable to… Read more »
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